Observed and urbanization-adjusted annual maximum peak discharge and associated urban fraction and precipitation values at USGS streamgage:
05550500 POPLAR CREEK AT ELGIN, IL

Observed annual peak-flood magnitudes were adjusted to 2010 land-use conditions on the basis of panel data regression model with fixed effect analysis.  The symbols presented in the figure are: "observed annual peaks", "adjusted annual peaks", and   "fraction of urbanization in the watershed"

Legend for Graph

Water year Segment Discharge code Cumulative reservoir storage (acre-feet) Urban fraction Precipitation (inches) Observed peak discharge (ft3/s) Adjusted peak discharge (ft3/s) Exceedance probability
1952 1 -- 633 0.075 0.458 303 529 0.489
1953 1 E 633 0.084 1.075 282 494 0.551
1954 1 -- 633 0.092 1.218 310 531 0.486
1955 1 -- 633 0.101 2.974 291 499 0.542
1956 1 -- 633 0.109 0.728 175 333 0.819
1957 1 -- 633 0.117 2.103 286 483 0.570
1958 1 -- 633 0.126 0.223 210 376 0.755
1959 1 -- 633 0.134 0.402 258 437 0.649
1960 1 -- 633 0.143 0.466 340 548 0.460
1961 1 -- 633 0.162 1.295 327 520 0.505
1962 1 -- 633 0.180 0.272 512 741 0.211
1963 1 E 633 0.199 1.465 171 297 0.868
1964 1 -- 633 0.218 2.432 263 409 0.699
1965 1 2 633 0.237 0.091 350 512 0.518
1966 1 -- 633 0.255 0.509 476 656 0.305
1967 1 -- 633 0.274 1.200 797 1040 0.073
1968 1 -- 633 0.293 2.399 298 420 0.679
1969 1 -- 1154 0.312 1.706 247 351 0.791
1970 1 -- 1154 0.330 1.936 560 708 0.244
1971 1 E 1154 0.344 0.374 296 396 0.722
1972 1 -- 1154 0.358 0.653 294 387 0.736
1973 1 -- 1266 0.372 1.465 896 1070 0.067
1974 1 -- 1343 0.386 1.047 552 666 0.292
1975 1 D 1343 0.400 1.118 488 589 0.399
1976 1 D 1343 0.414 1.394 490 583 0.408
1977 1 E 1343 0.428 1.103 117 157 0.976
1978 1 E 1343 0.442 1.649 571 653 0.308
1979 1 -- 1343 0.456 0.292 765 853 0.146
1980 1 2E 1343 0.470 1.021 370 421 0.680
1981 1 E 1343 0.477 0.566 304 347 0.798
1982 1 E 1343 0.485 0.490 537 591 0.396
1983 1 -- 1343 0.493 1.845 761 820 0.164
1984 1 -- 1343 0.501 0.723 394 431 0.662
1985 1 -- 1343 0.508 1.484 633 675 0.279
1986 1 -- 1343 0.516 0.815 719 759 0.199
1987 1 -- 1343 0.524 1.785 625 657 0.300
1988 1 -- 1343 0.532 1.002 441 463 0.605
1989 1 -- 1488 0.540 1.907 700 723 0.230
1990 1 -- 1488 0.547 1.756 669 687 0.266
1991 1 -- 1488 0.550 1.643 399 411 0.698
1992 1 E 1488 0.553 0.381 212 220 0.942
1993 1 C 1488 0.555 0.906 691 704 0.248
1994 1 C 1488 0.558 0.616 779 791 0.181
1995 1 C 1488 0.561 2.360 580 588 0.400
1996 1 C 1488 0.564 1.762 437 443 0.641
1997 1 C 1488 0.566 2.758 1180 1190 0.046
1998 1 CE 1488 0.569 1.549 400 403 0.712
1999 1 C 1488 0.572 1.863 882 884 0.131
2000 1 CE 1488 0.574 1.365 555 555 0.451
2001 1 C 1488 0.574 0.734 600 600 0.382
2002 1 C 1488 0.574 3.945 637 637 0.328
2003 1 C 1488 0.574 0.955 552 552 0.455
2004 1 C 1488 0.574 1.464 367 367 0.768
2005 1 CE 1488 0.574 0.823 407 407 0.705
2006 1 C 1488 0.574 1.320 461 461 0.608
2007 1 C 1488 0.574 2.888 1120 1120 0.056
2008 1 C 1488 0.574 3.703 1560 1560 0.019
2009 1 C 1488 0.574 0.935 1170 1170 0.048